On December 22nd 2015, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released their latest Existing Home Sales Report which covered sales in November. The report revealed that sales:
“…fell 10.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.76 million in November (lowest since April 2014 at 4.75 million)…”
That revelation gave birth to a series of industry articles, some of which quoted pundits questioning whether the housing market was slowing. In actuality, there is one rather simple explanation to much of the falloff in sales last month. It is likely the implementation of the “Know Before You Owe” mortgage rule, commonly known as the TILA-RESPA Integrated Disclosure (TRID) rule, which went into effect on October 3. These regulations caused house closings to be delayed by an extra three days in November as shown in the graph below.
Three days might sound like a minimal difference. However, since there are only approximately 20 days in a month that a closing would normally take place (Mondays through Fridays), losing three days constitutes well over 10% of all closings. These sales are not lost. They are just moved into the next month’s numbers. In aDS News article on the subject also posted on December 22nd, Auction.com EVP Rick Sharga explained:
“The most likely cause for the weak sales numbers is a delay in processing loans due to the new TRID mortgage requirements imposed by the CFPB. This is the biggest change in mortgage document processing in many years, and there have been numerous reports within the industry of problems implementing the process and the new documentation that comes with it.”
So how is the housing market actually doing?
A better way to look at how well the housing market is doing is to look at the Foot Traffic Report from NAR which quantifies the number of prospective buyers that are actively looking for a home at the current time:
We can see immediately that demand to buy single family homes is increasing over the last few months – not decreasing.
No matter what last month’s sales numbers show, the housing market is still doing well as demand remains strong.
Call 786.554.8063 or email us George@GeorgeAssal.com, WE are here to facilitate and help you during the process of buying, selling, or renting any real estate needs, which will result in reaching your financial goals quickly and with ease, visit our page www.GeorgeAssal.com .
“The Mortgage Bankers Association expects that rates on 30-year loans could reach 4.8 percent by the end of next year, topping 5 percent in 2017. Rates haven’t been that high since the recession.”
How can this impact the housing market?
The article reported that recent analysis from Realtor.com found that –
“…as many as 7% of people who applied for a mortgage during the first half of the year would have had trouble qualifying if rates rose by half a percentage point.”
This doesn’t necessarily mean that those buyers negatively impacted by a rate increase would not purchase a home. However, it would mean that they would either need to come up with substantially more cash for a down payment or settle for a lesser priced home.
Below is a table showing how a jump in mortgage interest rates would impact the purchasing power of a prospective buyer on a $300,000 home.
If you are considering a home purchase (either as a first time buyer or move-up buyer), purchasing sooner rather than later may make more sense from a pure financial outlook.
Tired of being a tenant? thinking of selling your home?, looking to upgrade? 1st time buyer(s)? buying your dream home? Call us 786.554.8063 or email us George@GeorgeAssal.com, WE are here to facilitate and help you during the process of buying, selling, or renting any real estate needs, which will result in reaching your financial goals quickly and with ease, visit our page www.GeorgeAssal.com
La tasa de interés que usted paga por la hipoteca de su casa tiene un impacto directo en el pago mensual. Mientras mas alto el interes mayor será el pago.
Es por eso que es importante tener en cuenta que las tasas se dirigen al decidir comprar ahora o esperar hasta el próximo año .
A continuación hay una gráfica creada usando el Freddie Mac’s July 2015 U.S. Economic & Housing Marketing Outlook. Como usted puede ver la tasa de interés se proyecta que va aumentar constantemente durante el curso de los próximos 12 meses.
¿Cómo va a afectar el pago de su hipoteca?
Dependiendo de la cantidad del préstamo que usted aseguro, el aumento de la mitad de un porciento (.5 %) en la tasa de interés puede aumentar el pago mensual de su hipoteca significativamente.
El Doctor Frank Nothaft, Vicepresidente principal & economista principal de CoreLogic, dijo esto es su último MarketPulse:
“Si usted está pensando en comprar una casa y tiene los medios financieros para hacerlo, este podría ser un buen momento para dar un vistazo a los vecindarios que le interesan. Nosotros esperamos que los precios de las casas en nuestro índice nacional subirán cerca de 4.3 % en los próximos 12 meses, y las tasas hipotecarias también parece que van a aumentar durante el próximo año”.
Si ambas predicciones de los aumentos en los precios de las casas y la tasa de interés se convierten en una realidad, las familias terminarían pagando más considerablemente para su próxima casa.
Incluso un pequeño aumento en la tasa de interés puede afectar el bienestar de su familia. Reúnase con nosotros para evaluar su capacidad de compra de la casa de sus sueños . Recuerde Nosotros (The ASSAL Team) queremos asegurarnos de que usted obtenga la tasa de interés hipotecario más bajo posible , mientras logra su meta más rápido, más fácil y con una sonrisa en su cara! Llámenos hoy mismo al 786.554.8063 o envíenos un correo electrónico a firstname.lastname@example.org– usted puede contar con nuestra ayuda en cada paso del camino.